5 things to keep an eye on the day of the NBA lottery

THE Draft NBA The lottery takes place on Monday, which will set the order for the top 14 choices before the first round of June 25th.

The lottery is full of excitement due to the unknown while the lottery balls rebound decide the shooting positions of those teams. While the teams with the three worst records of last season – Charlotte Hornets, Utah Jazz and Washington’s Wizington Wizards – have the maximum probability (14%) to obtain the first overall choice, does not always go as expected. In 2024, the Atlanta Hawkswho had a 3.7% probability of winning the lottery, was lucky, in the end using the best selection on Zaccharie ricecher.

In this season, ex Duke forward Cooper Flagg It is the unquestionable jewel of the crown, so fans of each of the non -game and NBA teams in general will loudly ask to see the entire Monday event and find out where it will end. Here are five other things to keep an eye on the day of the NBA lottery:

2025 NBA Draft Lottery: Probability, how it works, date, time

1. No warranty beyond Flagg

Rutgers guard Dylan HarpeR is the prospect of consent n. 2 In the NBA Draft class of 2025, but this does not mean that it will be selected according to the absolute.

If the Wizards end up with choice n. 2 For the second consecutive season, Harper adapts perfectly to their list. The Wizards have a series of poor young players, including Carlton “Bub” Carrington, Kyshawn GeorgeAND Alex SarrA rim protector who selected with the second choice of 2024. Harper would have provided them with a primary sphere manual and an offensive hub.

Harper would also be a good option for the Pelicani of New Orleanswho have a 12.5% ​​probability in the best choice, allowing them to go on CJ McCollum and reconstruct around Harper, Zion Williamson AND Trey Murphy. THE Brooklyn Retiwho have a 9% probability of obtaining the first choice, would also take Harper if they jumped to n. 2, as they do not have real construction elements because they did not have their choice of the first round since 2021.

On the other hand, a team like Lo Utah Jazz, who also has a 14% probability in the best choice after finishing the season with the worst record of the League, could broadcast Harper because they already have a plethora of young balls dominated by ball. Instead, they could select Harper’s College’s teammate, Ace Bailey, a long wing with a high offensive ceiling.

The same goes for the Philadelphia 76erswho are warned with the point Tyrese Maxey And it would prefer to add complementary pieces rather than a score guard; And the Hornets, who don’t need Harper if they want to continue building around the guard Lamelo Ball.

2. Okc again?! Because Philly is sweating

Before the start of the NBA 2024-25 season, the Philadelphia 76ers were probably in the same level as the Eastern Conference Juggernaut as the Boston Celtics AND Cleveland Cavaliers. Being at the lottery was not in their radar. But things went wrong. Superstar Joel Embiid He never returned to full health, playing in just 19 games, while Paul George had an inconsistent campaign after signing as a free agent in the summer. The 76er tried to bother things, based on Maxey to keep them afloat while waiting for EMBIID to return to MVP form.

When this did not happen, the Sixer realized they had to detach the plug on the season. This is because the 76er would keep their selection in the first round only if it returned among the first six. Otherwise, it would go to Oklahoma City Thunderwho, under the general manager Sam Presti, has constantly built an arsenal of withdrawals that include their own and their opponents through expert operations.

Wanting to control their choice and keep it from the thunder, the 76er opted to close EMBIID, and then, when Maxey reinjed a finger unfolded on April 9, they took further precautions and also made him sit for the rest of the season. With their first two players outside, the 76ers finished the 24-58 season, making the fact of going impressively to the fifth record.

Now, the probability is in their favor to maintain their choice and add a young piece to help them supply. But there isn’t much room for the error. If only two teams above them are lucky and jump the 76er, they will lose the choice for thunder.

This scenario would be an abject disaster for Philadelphia as he would have wasted a season with Maxey and Embiid embraced by injuries, just to lose his choice. For Okc, it would be a pleasant surprise, since he concluded the season as seed n. 1 in the Western Conference and could still have a high shooting capital. Therefore, Thunder fans will look at the lottery ready to laugh like the wicked bad guys if the lottery balls bounce in their favor.

3. Spurs could actually become a flag?

The simple answer is, yes. Everything can happen during the lottery. San Antonio has a 6.0% probability of obtaining the best choice, which is almost double of what Atlanta had last year when she won.

In that scenario, the Spurs could combine Flagg with a nucleus of Victor Wembanyama AND Stephon CastleAnd be on the right way to have a third direct rookie of the year in their list and be ready to compete at the Western Conference.

Watch where the Spurs land on Monday will be a fun plot. But it will also be important to look at what they do in the weeks following the lottery, since they will have two selections in the Top-14 and could use that capital to enter the Commercial discussions by Giannis Antetokounmpo.

4. Best adaptation for Flagg?

We call Atlanta win the lottery of last year a stroke of luck and let’s say that one of the favorites will win this year’s edition. So, out of jazz, magicians and Calabri, where would we like to see Flagg land more?

Hornets are the best solution for Flag. A Duke product should not have been traveling far. So, there is the side of the basketball of things. The athleticism of Flagg would make it a perfect Lob partner for Lamelo Ball. The defense of Flagg would also be useful for a team built around Ball, a less defender. Flagg would also not be asked to manage the ball and start the offense, since the ball is one of the best passers -by of the game e Brandon MillerChoice n. 2 in 2023, he is a dynamic marker on the ball.

On jazz and magicians, Flagan is expected to take most of the responsibility on both sides of the ball. He is able to do it, but the Hornets roster adapts to his talents and his skills are something that is missing the current current nucleus of the Hornets.

5. Things worsen only (and better for rockets).

PSA for Suns fans: do not tune in to Monday’s lottery unless you want to torment and see Houston’s repercussions that acquire your choice as part of the agreement that brought Kevin Durant from Brooklyn. Unfortunately for Phoenix, there is not much of being enthusiastic about Monday. While Phoenix concluded the 36-46 season, on par with the lottery teams, Houston has the rights of his choice of the first round of 2025 regardless of where he lands.

So, Rockets fans, you are on a boat similar to thunder. You saw your team overcome expectations, ending second in the western conference in the regular season and now you potentially get another young player. Unlike thunder, however, the rockets would keep this choice everywhere falls. So, yes, there is a 3.8% probability that becomes the overall choice n. 1 And Flagg goes to a team that won 52 games last season.

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