China Courts Lula and Latin America to Trump’s tariff shock

China Courts Lula and Latin America to Trump’s tariff shock

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President Trump wants Eat echos The Monroe doctrine when the United States claimed the western hemisphere as a domain.

This week China’s leader Xi Jinping, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva from Brazil and other leading officials from Latin America and the Caribbean in Beijing, is to underline China to gain a firm foot in this region. Many Latin American governments want to continue to continue with Beijing – mainly as an economic partner, but for some also as a counterweight for the US power, experts said.

“What people are looking for in Latin America and the Caribbean are independence and self-determination, not the so-called” new Monroe doctrine, “China’s deputy Foreign Minister Miao Deyu told reporters in Beijing on Sunday, According to the people dailyand nodded that of President James Monroe Explanation of 1823Warn European powers not to interfere in America.

The US Foreign Minister, Marco Rubio, said that The Trump government will use “our region, America, first”, and Mr. Rubios first trip abroad as a secretary for Panama, Guatemala and other countries in the region. But Mr. Trump’s comprehensive tariffs and threats to take over the Panama Canal have unsettled the leaders in Latin America, especially in countries that are already cautious in terms of Washington.

Even if Mr. Trump is not awarded by name in official statements by Mr. Lula and possibly other Latin American officials, the implication will be clear.

“Lula sees China as a partner in the reintroduction of global power, not only as a trading partner, but as a geopolitical counterweight to the US hegemony,” said Matia’s spectorProfessor of politics and international relationships at Fundação Getulio Vargas, a Brazilian university. “Lula’s strategy is clear: diversify Brazil’s alliances, reduce the dependence on Washington and claim Brazil as a mover and shaker in an increasingly multipolar world.”

Nevertheless, it is unlikely that China’s conversations with Mr. Lula and other Latin American and Caribbean leaders will only do the mutual admiration. Mr. Lula is the most prominent of the leaders who gather in Beijing A meeting on Tuesday Between Chinese officials and ministers from the municipality of Latin American and Caribbean states or Celac, a group that neither the United States nor Canada.

Colombia’s recently elected President Gustavo Petro, a former rebel, will also be present, Chinese Media reported. However, it was unclear who was otherwise present, and such meetings with China are usually visited by outside ministers and other government officials.

In the past two decades, China has become an astonishing buyer of minerals and other resources from Brazil, Peru, Chile and other Latin American customers. Chinese products, including cars and devices, have filled markets in the region, and Chinese investments have financed bridges, dams and ports. Brazil and other great raw material exporters partly hope to repeat what happened in Mr. Trump’s first term when China bought more soybeans, iron ore and other products from Latin America in view of the US tariffs.

Last year the trade with goods between China and Latin America was achieved almost 519 billion US dollarsAbout twice the same Value of a decade agoAccording to Chinese customs statistics

Mr. Lula has to Beijing for all his friendliness, Increased tariffs For iron, steel and fiber optic cables, products that mainly come from China come. Countries in Latin America are “extremely concerned” that the Chinese exporters from the US market will be excluded in order to lead cheap goods there, what the local manufacturers flooded, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said Ryan BergThe director of the America program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

“These are countries that already have a story of protectionism and are interested in the protection of local jobs and local industries,” said Berg in an interview. “Although many countries such as Brazil have good relationships with China, they have nevertheless drawn in parallel with the United States to protect certain industries out of fear that they could become a lodging site for Chinese steel and aluminum.”

Mexico, the second largest Latin American economy in Brazil, has so far followed itself more carefully for China’s advertising, what its much larger trade relationships with the United States reflects, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said, said Enrique Dussel PetersProfessor of economics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico.

In fact, Mexico’s diplomatic caution believes in a trade relationship in which China makes enormous progress. Mexico is mainly fueled by an increase in Chinese cars on the streets of Mexico and now accounts for around 2.4 percent of the total China’s exports. That sets itself Mexico in front of Brazilwho has one larger population and only absorbs 1.7 percent of China’s exports as the most important export market in Latin America.

“Mexican elites and the government are torn in this new triangular relationship with the United States and China, said Professor Dussel Peters, author of” Latin America, China and Great Power Competition “.” However, this will not be sufficient for Mexico if China’s massive presence in Mexico is taken into account. “

Mr. XI sounded optimistic that he can keep Mr. Lula and many other important Latin American leaders upside down, partly through simple persistence and partly through continued arrangements of iron ore, soybeans and others. Mr. Lula has also expressed hope that China can help Brazil to win in new technologies, including space and green energy.

When Mr. XI traveled to Brazil to the summit of the G20 leader in November, he added A state visit There. This year he can do the same if he is supposed to visit Rio de Janeiro for A summit in July by the BRICS group of developing countries founded by Brazil, Russia, India and China. Mr. Biden’s only visit to Brazil as President – for the G20 summit – only came after he lost the presidential election.

“The fact that we are much closer, but we have high -ranking visits with less frequency than XI an obstacle to regional prioritization and a bad sign from a strategic perspective.” Said Mr. Berg. “I think a large part of it will change with Rubio,” he said, noticing that Mr. Rubio is a flowing Spanish spokesman who is familiar with the region.

Near the term of office, China can concentrate on further orders from soybeans and other goods from Brazil. “There is a concern that China is displacing Brazilian manufacturers, but the broader reality is clear,” said Professor Spektor, the Brazilian academic. “China’s demand underpins Brazil’s economic stability.”

Simon Romero The reporting has contributed to Mexico City.

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